Change,
Thoughts, and Strategies 2002
by Steve Saemmler-Klein
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markets everywhere appear they are adrift; equity prices are volatile.
Rates for deposits are so low that one can only have a laugh. Economies
all over the globe weakened by poor demand are now undermined by the destruction
in the United States.
If America
manages to pull through, it will report a real output increase of one percent.
The economic crisis is all the more profound because the phenomenon is
global, not localized; the spread of risks and uncertainty is insidious,
not merely menacing, because nobody has yet seen the bottom.
Just a couple
of months ago everyone asked me “what is your return on investment?"
The same people today are asking for “capital protected instruments.”
It is like an insurance kind of business being in money management and
financial consulting. Bankers, brokers, and money managers are suddenly
asked to act as if they were insurers. However, people forget that protection
always has been expensive. |
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Lic. Steve
Saemmler-Klein (SSK) is considered by many to be the offshore “guru”.
He is the President of the Offshore Association of Central America and
the Caribbean (OACC), the Principal of Butterfield, Reimer & Associates,
President of CBS Group, and sits on the board of over 25 companies as the
Chairman of Grupo CAT. SSK has become a known resource for international
financial structuring and global solutions, and is a frequent speaker and
author on these subjects.
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The threat
of falling asset values and eroding private investments are not the only
concern these days. One group of investors worries about putting
more money into equity markets whereas the other group worries about missing
the upside. I feel it safe to say that the ones looking at the equity
side is the one group that will grow.
| The next question
that follows is the “search for value.”
While the cycle
for recovery will underpin markets, the expectations for above average
returns have gone. In the circumstance, political risk is one of
the most significant unknowns, a significant variable, in the assessment
of risks today and the making of decisions. |
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In the mid-‘90s,
for instance, when the upside seemed to exist everywhere, investment decisions
were reduced to a matter of product selection in bonds, equities, precious
metals, real estate, and other securities. All that still remains
important, but investment managers will argue that product selection today,
more than in the past, will be predicated on sound, strategic advise, and
sound advise assumes that it, in and of itself, is unencumbered by the
pressures of satisfying sales in investment products. It is important
that one chooses an advisor where there is no investment bank or brokerage
behind him whose recommendations he has to follow and whose product he
has to sell.
| This independence
in the approach of the CBS Group is core in the open architecture business
that sits always at the heart of its decision makers and advisors. We give
independent advice because we are not product driven.
The distinction
between independent advice and product pedaling is important not only because
asset values across numerous classes have been adversely affected, but
also because there is a market increase in volatility in the most recent
past. Corresponding high volatility infers are high risk / return
profile. To capture this set of permutation profitably, requires
the exacting skills of risk management tools, discipline and an independent
approach to wealth management. |
Bolsa
de Comercio de Buenos Aires
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This discipline
and consistency is a rather conservative value - something not popular
some years ago. However, being conservative means one is extremely
progressive at the same time. All one has to do is to be willing to tackle
a range of asset classes rather than being confined to a portfolio of top
grade investment assets - for example double or triple A bonds. Asset
diversity in the portfolio may have no correlation with one another, but
it tells of the advisor’s capacity to take risk once given its arrays of
tools to protect against any shortfall. The idea that it is possible
to have ambitious long-term growth with protection is a tested proposition.
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personally measured the combined performances across eight classes of assets
with which I had investments between 1990 and 1999. In that period,
annual return was slightly more than eleven percent, earning more than
U.S. dollar global equities, but with the equivalent risk of global U.S.
dollar bonds.
With such results
it is clear that a global market strategy will work. It is a key
issue that this is a strategy and not a product. The objectives are
wealth protection, long-term growth, and reduced risk from short-term volatilities.
Investments are penned out across the globe on both listed and unlisted
assets with a strong emphasis on the U.S. market. The allocation
is highly diversified, not only across asset clauses, but also within an
asset class. Equity as an asset class may be volatile for example,
but diversification within it reduces its vulnerability to shocks. |
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