Singapore’s
Oldest and Best REIT Now on Sale Following Correction
Asian stocks
have been hit hard since the severe decline in mid-May, but Singapore has
declined the least. The benchmark Singapore Strait Times Composite now
trades 13% off its all-time high on May 3 and sells at 14.3 times trailing
earnings accompanied by a 2.8% dividend yield.
Listed in Singapore,
CapitalMall Trust is the city-state’s oldest REIT. Since its initial
public offering on July 17, 2002, CapitalMall Trust has gained a cumulative
132% in U.S. dollars, or 121% in Singapore dollars. Over the same period,
the Strait Times Composite has rallied 67% in U.S. dollars.
CapitalMall
Trust is literally Singapore’s REIT benchmark. The company was
the first REIT to become publicly-traded four years ago and holds a first-class
portfolio of shopping malls throughout the city-state.
Revenue
is mainly derived from rental income received from a diverse range of over
1,000 leases in five major shopping malls in both suburban and city areas.
Occupancy rates average over 98.5% for CapitalMall Trust, operating 60%
of its malls outside the core Orchard Road shopping district, where rents
are high compared to malls located in the suburbs. The scope for
raising rental income continues to grow outside the Orchard Road area,
a margin-booster for CapitalMalls Trust. That adds significant shareholder
value because during the Asian economic crisis in 1997-1998, Orchard Road
rental incomes plunged 50% while malls in the suburbs saw a much smaller
5% decline.
On July
21, CapitalMall Trust reported another stellar earnings report. Net
income surged 29.2% in the second quarter versus Q2 2005 while the unit
holders’ distributable income grew 26.1% versus a year earlier. Cash-flow
also improved, rising 14%.
As Singapore’s
economy continues to expand, the real estate market should also strengthen.
But the extra kicker for shareholders is a combination of rising distributions
over the next 12-24 months and a rising Singapore dollar versus the U.S.
dollar.
Currently,
CapitalMalls Trust yields an effective 5.18% in Singapore dollars - a strong
currency not only in Asia but also against the U.S. dollar. It’s
no secret that the United States and the European Union (EU) continue to
put pressure on Asian countries to revalue their cheap currencies - including
Singapore. Along with China and several other countries in the region,
Singapore continues to harbor an undervalued currency vis-à-vis
the U.S. dollar and the euro. I expect the Singapore dollar to remain
strong over the next five years while the American dollar suffers another
bear market against most world currencies.
Rising Payout,
Fat Dividends
In 2006, CapitalMalls
Trust raised its annual distribution by 10.2% compared to 2005’s payout.
Based on the current share price, the company now pays S$0.11 cents per
share annually or 5.18%.
The average
dividend yield of Singapore-listed REITs is about 3% higher than the yield
on a 10-year Singapore government bond.
In most developed markets, that spread is just 1% - a bullish sign, implying
Singapore REITs offer a better buying opportunity than their expensive
peers. And compared to U.S. REITs, which now yield just 4.6%,
CapitalMalls Trust pays a 13% greater yield, denominated in a stronger
currency supported by a healthy national economy.
Plus,
Moody’s Investor Services recently assigned a corporate family rating to
CapitalMalls Trust, issuing the highest rating ever assigned to a Singapore-listed
REIT. CapitalMalls Trust’s rating reflects its strong leadership
in Singapore’s retail mall sector, its position as Singapore’s largest
REIT and its impressive recurring income backed with tenant diversification.
In short, it’s the bluest of the REIT blue-chips.
From its
all-time high in May of S$2.60, CapitalMalls Trust now trades at S$2.22
a share, or 15% off its high.
The REIT, along with the rest of the stock market, has not been
immune to the severe global sell-off since May. Buying at this entry
point makes long-term capital gains, income distributions and currency
appreciation an excellent buying opportunity in one of the world’s fastest
growing financial centers this decade.
Buy CapitalMalls
Trust (symbol CMT) at market on the Singapore Stock Exchange.
Please use the ISIN to place your trade in Singapore. The ISIN code
is SG1M51904654. Buy up to S$2.60.
To purchase
CapitalMalls Trust, investors can trade through International Assets
Advisory Corporation in the United States (1-800-432-4402). In Europe,
members can use Jyske Bank Private Banking in Denmark and Anglo-Irish Bank
Austria to trade Singapore stocks. To track your investment, go to
the Singapore Stock Exchange at www.ses.com.sg and click “REITs.”
Eric Roseman
is the Investment Director for The Sovereign Society as well as founder
and editor of Global Mutual Fund Investor (GMFI), a monthly newsletter
that highlights the world’s best managed offshore funds. Visit www.globalmutualfundinvestor.com
Eric Roseman also founded The Sovereign Society’s investment trading service,
Commodity Trend Alert, in 2001. Eric’s weekly newsletter, Commodity Trend
Alert, focuses on the best global commodity plays worldwide. For more information,
visit www.commoditytrendalert.coms |