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Panama:
Investment and Real Estate Update
By James
Hickman
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.August
2006
| You’ve
heard the talk. . . Panama is investor friendly. Open for business.
Economically ripe and growing so quickly that it has generated tremendous
interest in business, investment, and real estate opportunities.
To this day I continue to receive frequent questions about these topics
from an article I wrote over a year ago… and what a difference a year makes.
Both the real estate market and overall investment climate in Panama have
changed significantly over the past year, and since interest level is so
high, I felt compelled to make a few comments.
The first thing
to know about investing in Panama is that the moneymaking opportunities
abound to a staggering degree. Think 19th century Chicago swallowing
up the prairies and birthing the biggest and best meatpacking industries,
lumber yards, skyscrapers, public transportation system, department store
businesses and futures trading. Better yet, think of the American
Wild West - a place where anyone with a bit of cash and a lot of
tenacity could become very successful.
The second
thing to know about investing in Panama is that you’re not the only one
thinking about investing in Panama. In fact, if you’ve never been
there, you’re about two years behind. Don’t worry, there’s still
plenty of opportunity available, but you need to use your head. Americans
have made so much money in real estate over the past several years - legions
of agents, analysts, bankers, brokers, developers, gurus, and guys on TV
in Hawaiian shirts all perpetuated cheap money loans in irrationally explosive
markets. It was so easy to make huge returns, and now that the boom
is over, real estate investors are looking elsewhere to sustain the money
machine.
Welcome to
Panama, where the cost of living is cheap, the economy is booming, and
the government supports business and foreign investment. The country
is posting such tremendous growth numbers in real GDP, per capita income,
foreign investment, tourism that Panama is becoming the envy of the developing
world. The main city is elegant and sophisticated with daring skyscrapers
and an oceanfront, international flavor. In April of this year when
Donald Trump announced his quarter-billion dollar luxury development in
Panama, he essentially put to rest any argument about systemic emerging
market risk. Add to that the looming approval for a $5.3 billion
Canal expansion project and you’ll see why the investment floodgates have
opened.
Real estate
developers have been the first to profit - demand has been so high
in the last twelve months that prices have doubled in many parts of the
city. Buyers are rushing down to Panama, desperate to speculate on
new condo projects, and there are plenty of developers happily willing
to sell properties to international buyers who don’t do their homework.
During the ‘preconstruction’ sales phase, many projects have not even secured
funding, allocated capital resources, or contracted material prices; they
have simply drawn a picture of a tower and proposed floor plans, and yet,
that seems to be good enough for foreign investors, most of whom want to
purchase multiple units for speculative investment purposes. And
some developers will gladly sell 5, 10, 20 units, even whole projects at
a time, regardless of what the speculation might do to the condo market
in the long run (anyone been to Miami lately?). On the other hand,
there are some developers who maintain sound business practices while still
building quality projects.
For example,
Procasa Panama’s Jonathan and Elias Mizrahchi are men of integrity who
know how to deliver to their residents. The real estate boom in Panama
(among other factors) has caused a rise in the price of local construction
material. Many developers have gone back to their buyers to demand
more money in order to fill the void. Procasa, rather than soil their
reputation, completely re-engineered an entire project from the ground
up, utilizing new technology, cutting costs, and significantly reducing
their profits in order to deliver the expected quality at the agreed-upon
price. They understand that the long-term success of Panama depends
on precise, thoughtful investment strategies across markets, not some condo
flipping fad.
Don’t think
that there still isn’t money to be made in Panama City condos; on the contrary,
the long-term outlook looks great (just read the Credit Suisse report from
March 2006). But ladies and gentlemen, the days of being able to
purchase an oceanfront penthouse for $80,000 are gone. Welcome to
2006 when that same condo will set you back a cool 300 grand. Consequently,
you can’t expect to throw your money in market that is widely self-perpetuated
by consumer optimism and expect the same huge historical returns without
doing your homework… as with any investment, convince yourself of the fundamentals:
is the price run-up based on a legitimate gap between supply and demand?
Are the developers credible and reliable? Are there any local legal or
business conventions that could create additional risk? Or hey, maybe you
were one of the people who paid $350 for a share of Amazon.com when it
had no earnings in the 1990s and feel comfortable just following the crowd.
- Article Continued Below - |
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Current Real Estate in Central America & Mexico - Numerous real
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a week. Also see Real
Estate Listings In South America - Now In Our Real Estate Marketplace |
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- Article
Continued From Above -
For those of
you who are even more intrepid, the serious money in Panama is far beyond
real estate - business ventures and other financial opportunities are waiting
for bold investors and entrepreneurs with expertise and determination.
My investment group has been doing business in Panama for more than four
years. With our ‘boots on the ground’ approach to international investing,
we take the time to conduct the local research and networking to be successful
in a foreign business environment… and believe me, the Panamanian business
environment is challenging. During our Panamanian tenure, we’ve met
the good, the bad, and the ugly - everyone from developers to physicians
to bankers to lawyers to local artisans to laborers to everyone in between.
Unfortunately, as of late, the list of “DO NOT DO BUSINESS WITH” has been
growing rapidly. Seemingly every day we uncover new business opportunities
and local partners for everything from consulting services to assisted
living. Financial instruments such as commodities and public equities
also pose significant potential.
Overall, the
economy is still at the beginning of a high-growth phase. But profiting
from it takes research and careful analysis, regardless of the market -
real estate, equities, bonds, or small business. Don’t simply rely
on “instinct” unless you pick stocks by having your dog lick parts of the
WSJ. You are clearly someone who doesn’t follow the crowd, otherwise
you wouldn’t even be interested in international investing. There
are still plenty of deals and great opportunities out there for smart investors
who do their homework.
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For more detailed
information on real estate analysis, business ventures, and other investment
opportunities, visit our website www.blackknightgroup.com
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Like a un-planed 2x4 full of splinters, Belize is sturdy, rugged and full
of sandfleas, but it also has it's share of beautiful islands, adventuresome
spirits and rum soaked nights. It's the place we dreamed about as children.
A place where we could do what we wanted without being called in to wash
up for dinner. It's a place where you need to know how to repair your own
car and replace parts of your plumbing with bailing wire and tape. It's
also a place where big brother isn't looking over your shoulder and you
can set your own building codes or own a flock of chickens. It's a place
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there's a new eBook that will take you to Belize and help you stay there. |
| Easy Belize: How to Live, Retire,
Work or Invest in Belize - Easy
Belize: How to Live, Retire, Work or Invest in Belize - Belize
- the laid back Caribbean country of Central America! It's a favorite of
those seeking a calmer lifestyle in close proximity to the wonders of nature.
Like a un-planed 2x4 full of splinters, Belize is sturdy, rugged and full
of sandfleas, but it also has it's share of beautiful islands, adventuresome
spirits and rum soaked nights. It's the place we dreamed about as children.
A place where we could do what we wanted without being called in to wash
up for dinner. It's a place where you need to know how to repair your own
car and replace parts of your plumbing with bailing wire and tape. It's
also a place where big brother isn't looking over your shoulder and you
can set your own building codes or own a flock of chickens. It's a place
where you can spend the day fishing without trying to keep up with the
Jones's. It's also become one of the hottest expatriate destinations in
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