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Real
Estate in Estonia
By Rhiannon
Williamson
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July 2006
| According
to Knight Frank’s latest ‘Global House Price Index’ Estonia once again
tops the list of worldwide property markets in terms of annualised growth;
the capital city of Estonia, Tallinn recorded growth of 17% in the first
quarter of 2006 on top of record annual growth last year of around 50%.
So what’s fuelling
demand for property for sale in Estonia? What’s sustaining the property
price increases and is Estonia’s property market booming healthily or about
to explode and cause causalities? ShelterOffshore take a closer look…
Estonia - and
Tallinn in particular - has a very fast moving property market where house
sales can be completed, closed and over and done with in as little as two
weeks flat with the average house purchase and conveyancing process taking
a maximum of a month. Part of the reason for the speed at which the
sales process is completed is because few people buying property in Estonia
are already homeowners and therefore the majority of buyers are not in
a chain and can move more freely.
Furthermore
low interest mortgages are fairly easy to come by in Estonia – in fact
since the issuance of the first low interest mortgages in Estonia roughly
five years ago the property market has really taken off. The affordability
of home loans is fuelling mass demand for property to purchase. In
Tallinn especially, demand far outstrips supply despite the boom in property
development taking place. Tallinn is almost as popular a destination
for the world’s construction vehicles as Dubai with developers racing to
complete brand new and renovated real estate to sustain the local hunger
for property.
Demand for
new property for sale in Tallinn is especially intense as residents of
Estonia long to escape from the former Soviet influence and live in the
lap of luxury in brand new, modern and fresh apartments. Renovated
properties are less popular and properties still in need of renovation
less popular still! So, while the supply of brand new housing stock
is still failing to meet the demand it is a seller’s market which makes
for property price increases – and while mortgages remain low interest
and in abundance the ability to afford property for sale in Estonia is
achievable by many more people – thus further fuelling demand, further
increasing property prices and further boosting the real estate economy
in Estonia!
This all sounds
extremely positive for the short to medium term health of the property
market in Tallinn especially – but what about the ongoing ability to afford
debt and finance? Until very recently Estonians were unable to borrow
money or raise finance to buy real estate – in fact the concept of a 25
year loan is not something that many older Estonians can truly conceptualise.
What will happen if the country has to raise interest rates and the widely
available finance begins to dry up and/or become less affordable?
Well, on the
one hand there are no two ways about it – Estonia is booming particularly
as a high tech/IT nation. Job opportunities for professionals are
increasing in abundance and wages are also increasing which makes debt
affordable at the moment – but household debt has been increasing by up
to 50% per year for the past three years in Estonia and that sort of annual
increase cannot continue indefinitely. All of these factors mean
that the property market can continue to absorb the price increases for
the short term but it is highly likely that there will come a time when
demand will slow, supply will increase, affordability and the desire to
afford new property will slow down and the market will even out.
Until then,
according to all the major indicators, property for sale in Estonia still
makes a great investment opportunity to consider for investors thinking
about buying a property in Eastern Europe and who are willing to accept
some risk in an emerging and rapidly developing market.
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Rhiannon Williamson
writes about living abroad and investing in international real estate.
She also maintains www.shelteroffshore.com
- Shelter Offshore Investment & Real Estate which is an online resource
for expatriates, international investors and anyone planning a new life
abroad. |
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