| Market for Dubai
Villas Remains Strong
The slowdown reported in apartment
sales in Dubai has not been apparent for villas. Even off-plan villa sales
are still going strong, and the re-sale market remains a seller's market.
This new dynamic to the market has been developing for some time.
The mismatch between the supply of
villas and the latent demand has been apparent for many years. In the early
days of the first Dubai Marina apartment sales Emaar Properties noted huge
demand for the very small number of villa units at the base of the development.
This is one reason why Emaar went
on to build the 2,000 villa Meadows and 4,000 town-house Springs developments,
and then the very successful Arabian Ranches project. The first two schemes
sold out long ago, though the release of villas at The Arabian Ranches
continues. Nakheel enjoyed similar success with its 6,000 Jumeirah Islands
villas.
Victory Heights - Only last
week-end the Victory Heights villas - a 900 villa development in seven
villages as a part of the Dubai Sports City - sold 164 villas or 70% of
its first phase, with town-houses priced from $350,000 up to six-bedroom
villas at $2.2 million.
Now the Victory Heights is a nice
project around an Ernie Els designed golf course called The Dunes, and
villas near to golf courses tend to sell at a premium. Emaar has certainly
used this to advantage with its projects facing on to the Emirates Golf
Club and The Montgomerie, as well as the desert golf course at The Arabian
Ranches.
However, investors are interested
in more than an attractive location. For over the past year there has been
a realization that villas may well offer the best investment returns in
the long-run in Dubai.
For a start pricing per square foot
is generally cheaper for villas than apartments, despite the fact that
villas come with a plot of land and a garden. In most cities of the world
this factor makes villas more expensive than apartments and not vice-versa.
Stable villa rental yields - The
rental market for villas in Dubai is also well established and given that
the supply of villas built in recent years is, if anything, behind the
demand curve then the outlook for rental yields on villas should be considered
more stable. In short, there is not a massive oversupply of villas about
to hit the market whereas the same can not be said for apartments.
This is one explanation why the re-sale
market for villas in Dubai is currently strong, with properties not remaining
on the market very long, while re-sales of off-plan apartments in a number
of projects is difficult.
So it looks as though two different
property markets now exist in Dubai: villas and apartments; although to
be fair completed apartments in The Greens, for example, are still in demand,
and the off-plan apartment market is where the main problems exist. |