| With
the South African property market enjoying burgeoning growth, there
is no better time to consider how other key property markets are performing.
Knowledge of current cost of living and property price comparisons with
international markets presents agents with an accurate global view and
knowledge base for client interaction.
Over the past
decade, hundreds of thousands of South Africans have emigrated in the hopes
of starting a new life for themselves and their families. Some have opted
for the relatively familiar lifestyle and climate of Australia, while others
have braved the high costs of the UK and the freezing winters of Canada.
If purchasing
property is a weighty, life-altering decision to make, purchasing property
in a foreign country can only be more daunting. Making the right decision
requires an understanding of all the elements, including the standard and
cost of living, job market, economy, housing market and buying conditions,
among other factors. MortgageSA provides a snapshot of what emigrants to
these three countries can expect in terms of purchasing a house. |
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Australia
Because of
the comparable climate and standard of living, Australia is a popular destination
for emigrating South Africans. The majority of South Africans settle in
Sydney (50%), Perth (30%), Melbourne (15%) and the rest spread around Brisbane
and Adelaide, with average house prices in these cities as follows:
Sydney:
$345 000 (R1
581 8071) to
$430 000 (R1
971 528)
Melbourne:
$270 000 (R1
237 936) to
$300 000 (R1
375 485)
Perth:
$196 000 (R898
650) to
$219 000 (R1
004 104)s |
Brisbane:
$168 000 (R770
271) to
$190 000 (R871
140)
Adelaide:
$165 000 (R756
516) to
$180 000 (R825
291)
Much like South Africa, Australia
has experienced a house price boom. But, unlike South Africa, the housing
market has weakened considerably this year, with house price growth falling
to 10% from 17% earlier in the year. House price growth in Sydney has fallen
by an average of 8%, and in Melbourne by an average of 15%, and further
decreases are expected.
Australian cities fared well in
the annual Mercer HR Global Quality-of-Life survey, most notably Sydney,
which ranks in the Top 10 global list of cities in terms of high quality
of life. However, the strengthening of the Australian dollar has seen the
cost of living in Australian cities rising dramatically, with Sydney placed
20th on the list of the 144 most expensive cities to live in, Melbourne
in 67th position and Brisbane in at 87 in a separate cost-of-living survey,
also conducted by MercerHR.com.
The cost-of-living survey measures
the comparative cost of over 200 items including housing, food, clothing
and household goods, together with transport and entertainment. The Australian
mortgage industry is well-developed and competitive, and offers mortgage
products to suit all types of buyers, from first-timers who require 100%
financing, to specific products for investment buyers. Interest rates are
reasonably stable, with the prime rate at just over 7%.
Many houses in Australia are sold
via auctions, a method that is not as widely used in South Africa.
While this method could be of benefit for sellers, the obvious disadvantage
to buyers is that auctions could drive the price up and out of a buyer’s
reach. Typically, a 10% cash deposit is required to secure a sale. |
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The
UK
While Australia
seems to be the preferred destination for South African families,
the UK, particularly London, is the hot spot for younger South Africans.
This in spite of the fact that, according to the Mercer survey, London
ranks as the most expensive city in Europe, and the second most expensive
city in the world, primarily because of the high cost of renting property.
Because of
this high rental cost, and the relatively low interest rate (current base
rate is 4,5%) in the past five years it has been feasible for many South
African’s to purchase property. However, the UK’s house price boom, which
has seen house prices increasing by about 19% in the first six months of
2004 alone, has put property out of the reach of many. The average house
in London now costs almost £195 000 (R 2 306 8872), with the average
in the rest of the country at £151 524 (R1 792 557) – more than double
the price in 2000.
Indicators
point towards a slow-down in the growth of property prices. Nationwide
Building Society and Halifax have both reported a drop in price growth
– the first fall for two years, and the sharpest fall since December 2000,
and South African’s wishing to enter the UK property market would do well
to wait. |
| South
Africans purchasing property in the UK may find it a frustrating experience.
Unlike in South Africa, where a purchase is settled on the acceptance
of an offer to purchase (providing bonds are in place and other subjective
clauses are met), in the UK a seller may accept a higher offer right up
until the time the transfer is registered.
Canada
Three quarters
of all new immigrants settle in one of Canada’s largest cities – Toronto,
Vancouver or Montreal. Though Canadian cities were historically relatively
inexpensive, they have moved up in the rankings of most expensive cities
in Mercer’s cost-of-living study, due to the strengthening of the Canadian
dollar. Toronto is in 89th position and has become more expensive than
a number of US cities. In spite of this, a number of Canadian cities were
featured in the top 20 cities in the Mercer Global Quality-of-Living Survey,
including Ottawa, Montreal, Toronto and Vancouver.
House prices
in Canada have been riding the same global price boom wave, with prices
rising by about 7,3% in 2004 (YTD). Average house prices vary widely
between cities:
-
Vancouver
$342 761 (R1 751 0613),
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Toronto
$284 955 (R1 455 748),
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Ottawa $221
249 (R1 130 293),
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Montreal $175
670 (R897 444).
But unlike
other global property markets, which are showing signs of slowing,
Canada is still very much in a seller’s market, and stock shortages have
been reported in all major cities, fuelling the increasing cost of
property.
The current
basic interest rate is around 3,72%, and interest rates have remained relatively
stable. The mortgage industry is well developed and competitive,
but 100% mortgages are not available and 5% of the purchase price is the
minimum down payment that will be accepted. |
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| Anyone paying a down payment of
less than 25% of the purchase price is required to take out mortgage insurance.
A view on South Africa
While it is certainly true that many
South African’s have chosen to leave the country, very many more have
chosen to stay and, an increasing number of South African’s are heading
back to our shores.
A recent web-based poll indicated
that many expats cite their friends and family as the reason they want
to return. South Africa is at a very exciting stage of development and
there is a great amount of confidence in South Africa, not just from South
Africans but also from the international community, and this is helping
to incite a passion for South Africans living abroad to return home. There
has also been a marked slowdown in the number of people emigrating – the
US embassy is down 25% on the number of resident applications for the first
six months of this year.
MercerHR.com has consistently ranked
Johannesburg as one of the cheapest cities in the world for a number of
years with property, food and entertainment being key to the sound value
offered.
From a property perspective, South
Africa is still a very good place to invest.
The latest ABSA House Price Index
has reported very strong growth, and the positive indicators are still
in motion. In fact, the outlook for property is very good indeed.
A number of positive factors have
contributed to the strong market. According to the ABSA House Price Index
these could include personal tax relief; lower transfer duties on property;
strong growth in the real disposable income of households; the improved
investment status of property compared with that of other asset classes;
relatively low inflation and interest rates; strong domestic demand for
housing as a result of an increasing number of households and a rapidly
growing middle class amongst previously disadvantaged communities; and
continuing foreign demand.
The average house prices in the
major centres are as follows:
-
Cape Town R699 275
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Johannesburg R635 123
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Pretoria R676 984
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Bloemfontein R494 449
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Durban R639 707
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Port Elizabeth R564 008
The current basic home loan rate is
11% – the lowest since 1980, and Geffen does not expect to see interest
rates rising dramatically over the next few years.
Furthermore, obtaining finance for
the average property has become easier in South Africa – with banks offering
100% bonds and even loans with cost in certain circumstances.
Consumers have been the biggest beneficiaries
since the advent of the mortgage origination industry in South Africa,
as competition between banks on home loan rates has increased dramatically.
Banks have been forced to focus on their product development, pricing and
service to remain competitive.
Any South African’s thinking about
emigrating should take into account the number of foreigners that view
South Africa as a prime destination.
Given the distance and travel time
to South Africa, the foreigners and expats investing in South African property
must be basing their purchase decision on lifestyle. Foreign buyers
invest primarily as a result of lifestyle, and by lifestyle we mean climate,
type and size of property and the cost of living. But equally important
is the interest rate environment, stability of exchange rates
and consistent growth in property values. These are draw cards to
foreign investors, and they should also be seen as such by South Africans. |
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